AAT World

Inflation in Egypt declines to 13.2 percent in June 2022

Egypt’s annual urban consumer inflation slowed to 13.2 percent year-on-year in June from 13.5 percent in May, data from the state statistics agency CAPMAS showed on Thursday.

Month on month, headline inflation eased 0.1 percent, compared to a 1.1 percent increase in May.

The sharpest annual price increases were in the food and drink, recreation, and restaurant and hotel sectors, according to CAPMAS.

The central bank on Thursday said core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as food, rose to 14.6 percent year on year in June from 13.3 percent in May.

Egypt has been hit by the knock-on effect of global commodity price rises that accelerated with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, though the government has absorbed some of that impact.

Prices are somewhat stable globally as oil prices saw a fall recently,” said Noaman Khalid, an economist at Arqaam Capital. “Also, there were no commodity price hike decisions from the Egyptian government.”

Inflation trends in the coming months would depend on whether Egypt would need to allow commodity prices to rise under the terms of an expected deal with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), he said.

Egypt’s Central Bank targets an inflation rate between 5 percent and 9 percent, but said when it raised interest rates by 200 basis points in May that it would temporarily tolerate inflation above that level.